Strategic Risk and Policy Implication Analysis Training Course

Introduction
As central banks and financial institutions navigate increasingly complex geopolitical, economic, and technological landscapes, understanding and managing strategic risks has become critical to long-term policy effectiveness and institutional resilience. The Strategic Risk and Policy Implication Analysis Training Course is designed to equip decision-makers and analysts with the skills to identify, assess, and respond to high-impact strategic risks while evaluating their implications for policy and regulatory frameworks. The course emphasizes the role of strategic foresight, early warning systems, and scenario planning in enabling informed and agile policy responses.

Conducted over five in-depth days, this training program bridges risk intelligence with policy analysis, helping institutions align their strategic goals with dynamic risk environments. Participants will explore tools for macro-financial risk assessment, horizon scanning, and the integration of strategic risks into policy design and institutional strategy. Practical exercises, global case studies, and interactive sessions will support the development of actionable insights for central banks, ministries, regulators, and policy advisory bodies facing complex strategic decisions.

Duration: 5 days

Target Audience:

  • Central bank policy, risk, and research professionals
  • Strategic planners and advisors in government or regulatory bodies
  • Financial stability, economic, and macroprudential teams
  • Governance, audit, and compliance executives
  • Think tank and policy institute researchers

Course Objectives:

  • Understand the nature of strategic risk and its implications for policy formulation
  • Apply foresight and scenario analysis techniques to identify emerging risks
  • Analyze the macroeconomic and institutional impact of strategic disruptions
  • Design policy responses that are adaptive, risk-informed, and forward-looking
  • Embed strategic risk analysis into planning, governance, and communication

Course Modules

  1. Introduction to Strategic Risk and Policy Implications
  • Defining strategic risk in the context of public policy and central banking
  • Distinguishing between operational, financial, and strategic risks
  • Importance of long-term risk thinking in dynamic environments
  • Impact of strategic risk on institutional mandates and credibility
  • Aligning risk and policy with national development priorities
  1. Strategic Foresight and Risk Anticipation Techniques
  • Tools for horizon scanning and trend analysis
  • Environmental scanning and weak signal detection
  • Stakeholder mapping and future driver identification
  • Role of expert judgment and Delphi methods
  • Building institutional capacity for foresight
  1. Scenario Analysis and Risk Simulation for Policy Planning
  • Designing and using qualitative and quantitative scenarios
  • Constructing alternative futures and stress narratives
  • Linking scenario outcomes to policy and strategy
  • Incorporating geopolitical, technological, and environmental dimensions
  • Scenario planning frameworks (Shell, GBN, OECD)
  1. Evaluating Policy Vulnerabilities and Risk Transmission Channels
  • Identifying policy-sensitive risk areas and feedback loops
  • Mapping macro-financial linkages and external shocks
  • Assessing second-order effects of strategic risk
  • Indicators of vulnerability in policy outcomes
  • Case studies of failed or resilient policy responses
  1. Integrating Strategic Risk into Institutional Strategy
  • Embedding risk thinking in mission, vision, and strategic objectives
  • Aligning risk and resource allocation with long-term goals
  • Role of risk committees and leadership in strategy design
  • Monitoring and adapting to evolving risk landscapes
  • Balancing innovation, growth, and institutional safety
  1. Communicating Strategic Risks to Stakeholders
  • Structuring strategic risk reports and dashboards
  • Techniques for briefing senior management and the public
  • Building narratives around uncertainty and resilience
  • Communication under crisis or volatility conditions
  • Transparency and trust in risk-informed policy dialogue
  1. Monitoring, Indicators, and Early Warning Systems
  • Developing key indicators of emerging strategic risk
  • Linking data collection with foresight and decision systems
  • Designing early warning triggers and escalation protocols
  • Use of technology and AI in strategic risk monitoring
  • Institutionalizing continuous monitoring processes
  1. Case Studies and Application Workshops
  • Strategic policy failure and success case reviews
  • Hands-on group simulation: strategic risk scenario and response
  • Developing a policy adaptation strategy under uncertainty
  • Peer feedback and collaborative problem-solving
  • Final presentation: strategic risk assessment and policy recommendation

CERTIFICATION

  • Upon successful completion of this training, participants will be issued with Macskills Training and Development Institute Certificate

TRAINING VENUE

  • Training will be held at Macskills Training Centre. We also tailor make the training upon request at different locations across the world.

AIRPORT PICK UP AND ACCOMMODATION

  • Airport pick up and accommodation is arranged upon request

TERMS OF PAYMENT

Payment should be made to Macskills Development Institute bank account before the start of the training and receipts sent to info@macskillsdevelopment.com

 

Strategic Risk And Policy Implication Analysis Training Course in Ethiopia
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